Hello everyone! through the peak of hurricane season. This post will focus on a tropical wave just emerging from Africa that may be one to watch for potential impacts to land in the longer range. I have also posted updates on Tropical Storm Nicholas in the Gulf of Mexico and a system developing near theContinue reading “Tropical Wave Emerging From Africa May be One to Watch Long-Term”
Author Archives: Jack Sillin
TS Nicholas Forms in the Gulf of Mexico, Expected to Bring Significant Rain to Texas
Hello everyone! We have quite a few tropical systems to watch today as we continue moving through the peak of hurricane season. This post will focus on the system we’ve been watching in the Gulf of Mexico which has now become sufficiently organized to have earned the title of Tropical Storm Nicholas. I have alsoContinue reading “TS Nicholas Forms in the Gulf of Mexico, Expected to Bring Significant Rain to Texas”
Tropical Disturbance May Develop Near the Bahamas, East Coast Should Watch
Hello everyone! We have quite a few tropical systems to watch today as we continue moving through the peak of hurricane season. This post will discuss a disturbance emerging in the general vicinity of the Bahamas and what implications it might have for the US East Coast. I have also posted updates on Nicholas inContinue reading “Tropical Disturbance May Develop Near the Bahamas, East Coast Should Watch”
Why Isn’t My Tropical Cyclone Intensifying as Fast as I Thought?
There are many possible answers to this question (shear, dry air, land interaction, internal disorganization, etc.) but since I’m writing this post as Hurricane Ida is intensifying in the Gulf of Mexico under ideal conditions, I wanted to explain why intensification can happen rapidly, but not instantly. In the process, we’ll learn what to lookContinue reading “Why Isn’t My Tropical Cyclone Intensifying as Fast as I Thought?”
Ida Rapidly Strengthening in the Caribbean, Still Expected to Slam Louisiana as a Major Hurricane
Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Ida continues to move through the northwestern Caribbean this morning, intensifying as it does so. The storm looks much healthier on satellite imagery this morning than it did last night. Persistent and intense thunderstorm activity is parked over the storm’s center, allowing for the vortex to align and intensification to commence.Continue reading “Ida Rapidly Strengthening in the Caribbean, Still Expected to Slam Louisiana as a Major Hurricane”
TD9 Develops in the Caribbean and Poses a Significant Threat to the US Gulf Coast
Hello everyone! A disturbance in the Caribbean near Jamaica continues to slowly organize this morning. The system was tagged as Invest 99L by the NHC yesterday, so we now have a few more tools to keep an eye on it. 10:15 AM Update: 99L is now TD9 after satellite imagery provided convincing evidence of aContinue reading “TD9 Develops in the Caribbean and Poses a Significant Threat to the US Gulf Coast”
Three Systems May Become Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic This Week
Hello everyone! After having to mostly sit Henri out as I drove across the country last week, I’m back on the tropics beat as we head into the tail end of August. This is usually about the time tropical cyclone activity really ramps up in the Atlantic, and this year appears to be no exception.Continue reading “Three Systems May Become Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic This Week”
Fred Struggles Near Cuba, PTC7 Becomes TD7 East of the Lesser Antilles
Hello everyone! There isn’t a whole lot of new and exciting info to share about Fred or TD7 this afternoon, but it’s time for our daily check of the tropics so let’s take a quick spin around each system. After struggling to produce almost any convection this morning, Fred finally has some bubbling to showContinue reading “Fred Struggles Near Cuba, PTC7 Becomes TD7 East of the Lesser Antilles”
TD Fred and 95L Both Struggling This Afternoon, But Both Still Bear Watching
Hello everyone! Neither of our two systems in the tropical Atlantic, TD Fred and 95L, are doing especially well this afternoon thanks to the effects of dry air and wind shear. TD Fred is attempting to start rebuilding its near-core thunderstorms after they were shredded by the high peaks of Hispaniola yesterday. This “sandwich” satelliteContinue reading “TD Fred and 95L Both Struggling This Afternoon, But Both Still Bear Watching”
TS Fred Crossing Hispaniola, 95L One to Watch Deep in the Atlantic
Hello everyone! We have two systems on the agenda for discussion this afternoon: TS Fred (formerly PTC6/Invest 95L) currently crossing the island of Hispaniola and Invest 95L which is moving west across the open tropical Atlantic. The former is already bringing impacts to land areas and thus will be our primary focus. Satellite imagery thisContinue reading “TS Fred Crossing Hispaniola, 95L One to Watch Deep in the Atlantic”
Sillin Weather 