Forecast Blog

Tracking the Tropics

Here are my latest thoughts on the tropics (or whatever other interesting weather might be going on). Keep a close eye on the date stamps as sometimes I won’t post for a while and outdated info will stick to the top.

Remember that I’m just a meteorology student who enjoys watching the forecast outside of class. My musings should never be taken as substitute for official information from the National Weather Service or the National Hurricane Center.

Tropical Wave Emerging From Africa May be One to Watch Long-Term

Hello everyone! through the peak of hurricane season. This post will focus on a tropical wave just emerging from Africa that may be one to watch for potential impacts to land in the longer range. I have also posted updates on Tropical Storm Nicholas in the Gulf of Mexico and a system developing near the…

TS Nicholas Forms in the Gulf of Mexico, Expected to Bring Significant Rain to Texas

Hello everyone! We have quite a few tropical systems to watch today as we continue moving through the peak of hurricane season. This post will focus on the system we’ve been watching in the Gulf of Mexico which has now become sufficiently organized to have earned the title of Tropical Storm Nicholas. I have also…

Tropical Disturbance May Develop Near the Bahamas, East Coast Should Watch

Hello everyone! We have quite a few tropical systems to watch today as we continue moving through the peak of hurricane season. This post will discuss a disturbance emerging in the general vicinity of the Bahamas and what implications it might have for the US East Coast. I have also posted updates on Nicholas in…

Why Isn’t My Tropical Cyclone Intensifying as Fast as I Thought?

There are many possible answers to this question (shear, dry air, land interaction, internal disorganization, etc.) but since I’m writing this post as Hurricane Ida is intensifying in the Gulf of Mexico under ideal conditions, I wanted to explain why intensification can happen rapidly, but not instantly. In the process, we’ll learn what to look…

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