PTC6 Likely to Become a Tropical Storm Soon, Will Bring Heavy Rain From Puerto Rico to Florida

Hello everyone! Invest 94L became Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 yesterday afternoon as it passed through the Lesser Antilles. This change in designation means nothing meteorological, but it allows the NHC to issue watches and warnings even though the center hasn’t quite finished developing yet. PTC6 looks very healthy on satellite imagery with curved banding featuresContinue reading “PTC6 Likely to Become a Tropical Storm Soon, Will Bring Heavy Rain From Puerto Rico to Florida”

The Tropical Atlantic Begins to Stir

Hello everyone! About a week ago, I dusted off this blog to discuss the potential for some increased tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic heading deeper into August. This wasn’t exactly a bold prediction given that almost every year activity ramps up as we transition from July to August. This ramp-up in activity happens aroundContinue reading “The Tropical Atlantic Begins to Stir”

Time to Cast an Eye Towards the Tropics Again

Hello everyone! Since Hurricane Elsa back in early July, the tropics, and this blog, have remained rather quiet. This can be attributed to the passage of what meteorologists call the “suppressed phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO).” The MJO can be thought of like a wave that travels around the earth near the Equator. AllContinue reading “Time to Cast an Eye Towards the Tropics Again”

Elsa Becomes a Hurricane While Racing Into the Caribbean Sea

Hello everyone! Early this morning, Elsa became a hurricane after sustained winds of 75mph were measured by a weather station in Barbados as the storm passed just south of the island. Hurricane Hunters have been flying through the storm for the first time in its life and have found slightly stronger winds since then withContinue reading “Elsa Becomes a Hurricane While Racing Into the Caribbean Sea”

Elsa Slowly Organizing as it Moves Rapidly Towards the Lesser Antilles

Hello everyone! PTC5 became TD5 late last night and TS Elsa early this morning after it managed to close off a center of circulation and produce sustained winds over 40 mph. The system’s fast forward motion and a little bit of dry air to its northwest has kept a lid on its ability to strengthenContinue reading “Elsa Slowly Organizing as it Moves Rapidly Towards the Lesser Antilles”

97L Becomes PTC5 in the Deep Tropics, Likely to Impact the Lesser Antilles Friday

Hello everyone! The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season has been off to a wildly active start as we’ve burned through four names already (Ana, Bill, Claudette, and Danny) with number five, Elsa, imminent in the deep tropics. For comparison, at this time last year, we had also run through four names on the list with numberContinue reading “97L Becomes PTC5 in the Deep Tropics, Likely to Impact the Lesser Antilles Friday”

92L Expected to Bring Very Heavy Rain to Parts of the Gulf Coast Friday and Saturday

Hello everyone! In my last update, I mentioned two areas to watch for possible tropical cyclone development this week: one off the North Carolina coastline and the other in the southern Gulf of Mexico. Sure enough, the system off NC ended up becoming TS Bill and 92L in the Gulf of Mexico appears very likelyContinue reading “92L Expected to Bring Very Heavy Rain to Parts of the Gulf Coast Friday and Saturday”

The 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins Awakening This Week

Hello everyone! While we humans have assigned June 1st to mark the beginning of the North Atlantic Hurricane Season each year, Mother Nature follows her own schedule. This year, it appears as though she’s ready to kick off the 2021 Hurricane Season starting this week, though we’ve already snuck a name off the list withContinue reading “The 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins Awakening This Week”

Active Pattern Sets Up Two Chances For Snow Along The East Coast This Week

Hello everyone! Winter is here and there is plenty of interesting stuff to talk about from a synoptic meteorology perspective. This post will take a more in-depth look at the first of two storms expected to bring at least some snow to parts of the East Coast this week. Here’s a glimpse at what I’mContinue reading “Active Pattern Sets Up Two Chances For Snow Along The East Coast This Week”

Eta Strengthening South Of Cuba, Headed For Southern Florida

Hello everyone! After re-emerging into the Caribbean Thursday night and re-organizing into a coherent system yesterday, Eta is now re-strengthening south of Cuba. The storm has assembled some very impressive convection this morning which has pulled the center northeast of forecast expectations. This relocation will have some impacts for the storm’s track but it’s probablyContinue reading “Eta Strengthening South Of Cuba, Headed For Southern Florida”